With the Singapore Department of Statistics’ (DOS) assistance, the Ministry of Social and Family Development (MSF) first analysed marriage cohort dissolution rates for resident marriages up to the 2012 marriage cohort, for better insight on marriage stability. Three years on, this report updates the analysis to the 2015 marriage cohort. The following key findings are highlighted in this report:
1. Proportion of Dissolved Marriages Remained Higher Among More Recent Marriage Cohorts
Marriage dissolution rates for total marriages have increased for recent marriages compared to older marriages. Among the 2006 marriage cohort for example, 16.0% had dissolved before the 10th anniversary, compared to 8.7% of the 1987 marriage cohort. Likewise, 21.1% of the 2001 marriage cohort had dissolved before the 15th anniversary, compared to 12.3% of the 1987 marriage cohort.
2. Drop in Marriage Dissolution Rates Continued Among Recent Muslim Marriage Cohorts
There was a fall in recent Muslim marriage cohort dissolution rates before the 5th anniversary, decreasing from 14.0% for the 2003 and 2004 marriage cohorts to 8.1% for the 2011 marriage cohort.
3. Higher Proportion of Dissolved Marriages Persisted Among Younger Grooms
For Civil marriages, younger grooms (defined as those aged 20 to 24 years old at point of marriage) had higher dissolution rates compared to older grooms. Specifically, 14.7% of marriages involving younger grooms from the 2011 cohort dissolved before the 5th year, 30.6% of marriages from the 2006 cohort dissolved before the 10th year, and 34.0% of marriages from the 2001 cohort dissolved before 15th anniversary.
For Muslim marriages involving younger grooms, the recent marriage cohorts also had higher dissolution rates compared to older grooms. Findings show that 13.3% of marriages involving younger grooms from the 2011 cohort dissolved before the 5th year, 31.5% of marriages from the 2006 cohort dissolved before the 10th year, and 44.3% of marriages from the 2001 cohort dissolved before the 15th anniversary.
Other trends reflected in this report include:
a. Dissolution of civil marriages was most pronounced from the 5th to before 10th anniversary
b. Higher proportion of dissolved marriages among persons with secondary and below qualifications, and
c. Higher proportion of dissolved marriages among remarriages.
Download the full report: Dissolution of Marriage Cohorts: 1987 - 2015